Tag Archives: Federal Reserve

Matthew Garrett’s Employer, Aurora Innovation, Continues to Burn Down Through Debt and Lack of Marketable Products.

Matthew Garrett’s Employer, Aurora Innovation (blogged about previously), Continues to Burn Down Through Debt and Lack of Marketable Products.

Aurora is facing several new difficulties including proposed laws against autonomous semi-trucks even in their home state of California.

(These trucks would be a major safety hazard and a plot to make hundreds of thousands of Americans unemployed as human drivers are better at avoiding serious accidents.)

“These vehicles that they’re pushing are not legally able to be driven on our roads because they have not been proven to be safe. So it’s convenient to point at humans when (AV trucks) don’t have a track record yet,” Di Bene said.

Legislators want more time to study the technology’s safety. Assembly member Laura Friedman (D-Glendale), the head of the Assembly’s transportation committee, said the state Department of Motor Vehicles has so badly mishandled the driverless car industry – citing reports of robotaxis causing car jams, blocking emergency vehicles and fleeing from police – that she doesn’t want to make the same mistakes with big rigs this time around.

“The DMV has not done a great job at regulating this space,” Friedman said.

The Department of Motor Vehicles is tasked with issuing permits to all types of AVs, assuming the vehicles adhere to regulations. But legislators want to halt the DMV’s ability to grant those permits to long-haul trucks because of how disappointed they’ve been with the DMV’s deployment of driverless cars in the state.

-The Almanac (Samantha Stevens / Mountain View Voice)

Another problem the company faces is that each year it does business, it loses more money than the previous year. 2022 was their worst loss report yet, according to Yahoo Finance, at least for a whole year.

It’s when you get into the latest quarters that things really start looking horrific. $2.37 million in revenue in the latest quarter vs. $293.82 million in NEGATIVE earnings. And the two quarters before that were as bad or worse.

However, they have been raising money by selling off shares to offload their losses into things like pension and retirement plans that scoop up risky and toxic investments and make it someone else’s problem.

This would not be their ideal funding source except that at the interest rates the United States Federal Reserve is pushing up, it’s hard to get cheap money. It’s dried up, so now they resort to “finding a bigger fool”, or more likely, corrupt officials managing retirement funds.

For example, CalPERS is notoriously corrupt and sank a bunch of money into Tesla without asking anyone who is going to have to retire from the California government what THEY thought about it.

Reading the company financial statements, it’s hilarious how they simply push their “big product” further back and burn the furniture to stay warm while they speak of “adding length to our runway”.

They need that “longer runway” so they can pay Matthew Garrett to harass and annoy TechRights in various ways.

It’s hard for me to even imagine how much actual work they’re getting out of him seeing as how he’s become so devoted to trolling our chat rooms.

One would think that in an era of Pointy Haired Bosses installing keylogging spyware on employee computers to make sure they work, they would have noticed.

Then again, they count things like replying to dumb emails and generating PowerPoints “productive” and a “skill”. It’s not having a product that matters, it’s having a PowerPoint with all sorts of nice bars and graphs and pie charts.

Also, moving the mouse a lot is productive too. Maybe Matt GULAG is just moving his mouse and typing so it will count harassing us as productivity? It couldn’t possibly be that. Right?

I feel like spyware from your boss that measures mouse movement and keystrokes could be abused much like the system for counting “e-royalties” at Epinions dot com during the dotcom bubble.

You could make a tidy sum by writing crap articles and then making a browser plug-in that repeatedly cleared the cookies and hammered on the reload button.

There were so many things wrong at that place, but the articles blaming “reading circles” were way off the mark.

California is a hellhole where investors go to die.

Captive investors. People who thought they’d retire and their portfolio was full of crap.

Worker: “Where is my retirement money?”

Fund Manager and Government: “POCKET SAND!”

(Turns out you were fully vested in a homophobe from Ireland.)

Facebook is dying as the tech bubble bursts.

Facebook is collapsing right in front of us.

All you have to do is look at their stock price.

It’s “worth” less than 25% of what it was 13 months ago, even before you adjust for the fact that the money lost another 30% this year under Biden and (locally worse) Illinois Governor J.B. Pritzker.

Where you have to pay for three dozen eggs at 2020 prices to get only a dozen and you have to pay for two pounds of butter to get a pound, and you have to pay for 1.2 months worth of rent to get a month.

This is Illinois and this is America under the Democratic Party.

Phoronix is talking about Facebook’s code contributions to the BtrFS file system for Linux, which I admit I use personally.

Since it’s all under the GNU GPL, it will survive the collapse of the Second Tech Bubble, when Facebook is long gone. As did much Free and Open Source Software the last time, much of which is still developed and in use today.

But what will be gone when Facebook itself collapses?

Cat pictures?

Terror content that they don’t see anything wrong with (because there’s no human moderators and they try to cover it up with software that detects words)?

Anti-vaxxers? People denying that we had an election and they lost?

They don’t care what kind of an open sewer they’re running as long as people engage with advertising, but in Biden/Pritzker’s economy, ad revenue is worth very little right now and many of the ad firms themselves are shutting down and having 100% layoffs.

Meanwhile, the company is mostly being mocked for spending down all of their assets on something that looks like characters in a Nintendo 64 game where nobody has any legs, on a $600 VR headset.

Facebook truly is burning while Zuckerberg fiddles. This is priceless. I shall watch with great amusement and then laugh in “I still use IRC and lost pretty much nothing.”.

There’s nothing particularly unique about what’s happening to Facebook (“Fakebook”) in the economy of the Bay Area. Layoffs Tracker shows mostly what’s unfolding in failed blue cities and states.

Yesterday, a “self-driving” car company based in Pennsylvania called Argo AI went under, and 2,000 people lost their jobs, as their clients took possession of the company’s “intellectual property”.

Self-driving cars are a pipe dream. Tesla is now under CRIMINAL investigation by the feds for advertising that their cars are “self-driving”. (NewsWaffle proxy. Original.)

I mean, it’s technically true that “self-driving” cars can mostly manage to stay in a lane, but you can’t trust them not to run people over and say they were a shopping bag or slam into the back of a parked police car in Florida, so you still, legally, have to be paying attention to the road and ready to take over at a moment’s notice.

I linked to the ARGO AI story in Techrights IRC yesterday, highlighting Matthew J. Garrett, joking “You’re next, Bubbles.”.

(Which is what Peter Venkman told the judge in Ghostbusters II while the ghosts were flying away with his court reporter.)

He didn’t reply as far as I know. I’m not telling him anything he doesn’t already know.

The Federal Reserve may be fixing to lose all credibility.

I saw a report yesterday that says that many investors feel that the Fed will crater and stop aggressively hiking interest rates in December. The Fed hasn’t commented, but I guess we won’t have to wait long to see.

I don’t subscribe to the notion that jacking up interest rates through the roof and causing immediate and rampant destruction is the best or only way to get hyperinflation under control, but it is what’s available considering that Congress won’t quit throwing money around and bailing out Zombie Corporations like Japan did in the 90s before it gave up because the government deficits were just too large and the population wouldn’t stand for it anymore.

If true, this means that instead of just a Depression or just a hyperinflationary period, we’re going to get both as the Federal Reserve throws its hands into the air and gives up trying to deal with this using the tools it has available.

US layoffs accelerating under Bailout Biden’s re-defined recession.

US layoffs accelerating under Bailout Biden’s re-defined recession.

Yesterday, over 1,000 US tech layoffs were announced in one day, and that’s just from looking at Layoffs Tracker.

Some numbers don’t even get published because they try to keep it in an Internal Memo and threaten people’s severance pay if they discuss details with the media.

And companies that lay off generally also do a hiring freeze and don’t replace people who quit. (Stealth Layoff)

Today, there’s several big examples.

For starters, Intel, which just got many billions of dollars in bailout money over the CHIPS Act, which Bailout Biden signed, announced that its sales are a disaster and it will be cutting thousands of jobs as the (Windows) PC market collapses.

Techrights has been covering the demise of Windows “Vista” 11. Microsoft has a self-inflicted gunshot wound. They figured that they could artificially juice new PC sales by disallowing most upgrade installs for PCs that are older than 2018(!) through ridiculous requirements like TPM 2.0 and a software block that blocks some computers even if they have a TPM 2.0.

So Windows “11” depends on a new computer, pretty much, and nobody is buying them because thousands of people lose their jobs each day in America now.

The market share of Vista 11 is very tiny and many people who want an upgrade path are choosing GNU/Linux distributions, Chromebooks, and Macs (if they have money for it in this environment).

Windows was already losing 2% of its desktop marketshare every year for the past several years, according to PornHub Insights and was down to just 64.7% last year (all versions). A trend which will no doubt accelerate.

On top of Vista 11’s failure to achieve any sort of market penetration, Microsoft went ahead and bolted on the new APIs that may even be somewhat interesting into Vista 10 updates. Vista 10 is less bloated than 11 anyway.

Microsoft cutting them off and demanding a new computer is no longer a threat, because the new computer wouldbe a Chromebook or a Mac, or they would format the system and install GNU/Linux.

So Microsoft is in the unenviable position they’ve gotten themselves into of splitting “Windows” into two things that need to be “maintained” and with little to show for it other than the liability.

Microsoft and Intel still have each other, for a combined total of a balkanized legacy platform full of bugs, bloat, security vulnerabilities, horrible power management, and other LULZ.

Now their empire of legacy software doesn’t seem to be saving them, so they’re getting very aggressive and disabling (by default) the “Secure” Boot (Security Theater Boot) certificate that they sign GNU/Linux distributions with so that it adds more of a hurdle for the user to escape while still leaving the possibility open (for now) to avoid triggering a major lawsuit.

Moving on…

Cartoon Network was essentially shut down (Creative Talent like writers/animators sacked). 125 job losses and 43 open positions eliminated, but the parent company has its first Black CEO, says WGN Chicago. (WGN distracts from layoffs by mentioning the irrelevant race of the new CEO of Warner Bros/Discovery.)

Walmart announced that it is laying off 1,500 more people (after the hundreds of corporate jobs) and they’re blue collar workers this time in an Atlanta “fulfillment center” (warehouse).

Crypto.com lied about the size of its layoffs in June. It turns out that it was at least 40% of the people working there. At the time, they said it was 260 employees, and turns out that it was well over 2,000.

Mortgage originator bankruptcies are piling up. Layoffs in banking and credit unions all across the country, thousands. Too many to track or list here individually. Due to mortgage rates spiking, few loans. No real need of loan officers anymore.

Pharmaceutical company layoffs. All over the place. Amneal recently announced it was closing their entire facility on Long Island, cutting 86 jobs.

Oracle laid off 200 more people in California today.

SalesForce in California fired another 90 and went on a hiring freeze.

I could keep going and going, but it’s over 12,000 today alone.

And when you start hitting “days” like this, it’s not hard to see how we’ll all be feeling pretty miserable next year. Investor-facing “news” predicts mass job losses (like this report from Bank of America published by Business Insider…..175,000 job losses per month soon in the “very mild” recession…mild for the billionaires, you know) while consumertard-facing “news” like CNN and Fox are still saying bullshit about strong economy and strong jobs growth.

But articles like “The “quiet quitters’ will be the first to get sacked!” are popping up now too. Victim-blaming. Blame-shifting. Disgusting. Gaslighting. Bullshit. They’re starting to admit you’ll lose your job, but it’s going to be entirely “your fault” you know. They’ll have you know.

Bailout Biden, Trump’s Fed Chair Jerome Powell, and Congress have left us with a jobless economy in hyperinflation where they think that what cures it is to leave people broke so that they’re not just cutting cars, houses, and trips to Disney, but can’t even put food on the table, while they raise our taxes to fund useless new government programs that don’t help anyone and don’t solve any real problems.

Trump threatened to fire Jerome Powell but kept him after Powell promised him cheap money to help him win the election, which is partially where the hyperinflation now comes from. But under Biden, it went on for over another year while the Federal Reserve said “inflation is temporary and not a concern”.

That and Trump’s massive fraud bill, the CARES Act. Now they admit that almost all of the money has been forgiven and there’s hundreds of thousands of fraudulent loans, most of which will just be a taxpayer loss that never gets prosecuted.

This is America now.

GM is in very serious financial trouble and thinks that the solution is to force every new Buick and GMC owner into a $1500 three year OnStar subscription

GM is in very serious financial trouble, and thinks that the solution is to force every new Buick and GMC owner into a $1500 three year OnStar subscription.

Buick and GMC fans are furious. General Motors is in bad fiscal trouble again after the stock collapsed over the past six months and analysts are warning about “earnings misses” and “recessions” this morning related to GM and large investors are dumping the stock.

GM learned nothing the last time it went bankrupt and re-emerged. Some structural problems were fixed, such as having too many brands that were basically all the same car, and some were not.

The biggest problems “New GM” faced were that the Obama Administration managed the bankruptcy and they had to agree to carry over many of their legacy problems into the new company, which continued to drain their coffers.

While nobody should want retirees/pensioners and current workers to “take a bath” on their pay and benefits, at the same time, none of GM’s main rivals in the auto industry have to deal with anything like it.

Then came the government mandates to build compliance and electric cars that nobody (at the time) wanted, because gas was cheap, so GM killed them off as soon as Obama was gone. Then gas got very expensive again, and it forced them to stop what they were doing and run a crash program to get efficient and electric vehicles to market.

Obama allowed the GM bankruptcy to go through while allowing all of the people who ran them into bankruptcy to remain at their posts without punishment.

They claim that Cadillac will be all electric by 2025, and Buick will go that way too. The problem here seems to be that they’re getting exceptionally greedy for cash. These are already luxury brands that people will pay premium amounts of money for, but even people with the money to buy them new respond negatively to outright cash grabs that are large enough to affect the sticker price by over $1,500 when it’s for things that they’re not even going to use.

BMW recently made the news for plans to charge people $500 once or $12 a month for heated seats, and Toyota is charging for the heated seat and remote start as “services”. Which means that the hardware is already there, but then they went and wrote software that doesn’t allow them to work and which shuts them off if you haven’t paid that month.

Now, people who have a BMW or something will just go ahead and pay it, but folks will raise hell over $1,500 for stupid OnStar, and in many cases, they’re threatening to leave and buy a Ford truck already when they’re hearing about this.

I don’t blame them. Ford is already having far less serious trouble building a truck to their specifications, they have the number one owner satisfaction ratings in trucks. And there’s a reason. They charge what they charge, and owners feel like they’re getting their money’s worth. People respond well to that.

They will not respond well to GM and others turning their truck into “Windows Anytime Upgrade” over OnStar and heated seats.

GM is also facing headwinds because they haven’t made a single damned mile per gallon improvement in gas mileage in 20 years, and now their new trucks are doing worse because in 2022 they need a “Fuel Management Module” that they say they can’t get because of the “supply chain” and not having it costs you even more gas. Over $5,000 over the 200,000 miles you might own the truck.

Ford took the initiative, and many of their trucks are plenty powerful and get twice the gas mileage, and they don’t have any of this “Windows Anytime Upgrade” nonsense going on, at least as far as I can tell.

During the last recession, Ford asked Congress to bail out GM because they use some of the same suppliers, but Ford didn’t take bailout money.

This time around, I think Ford won’t need bailout money and they stand to sell more trucks than ever due to what’s going on over at GM.

When I got the Buick, it needed some work. It turns out that there’s nobody left at the Buick or Chevy dealers that knows much about a 2008.

In fact, ACDelco parts are drying up and you increasingly have to turn to the aftermarket.

It would be great if you could still get GM cars that worked right. I’ve never had any serious engine problems out of a 3800 V6, but they quit offering anything with it after 2009. It’s what’s in my Buick right now.

Short of a dead battery, I never had my 2003 Impala with an earlier version of that engine fail to start up. Even when it had 300,000 miles on the odometer. I recently gave it back to my mom.

It was just a really great engine, and they replaced it with one that was much less reliable, gets the same gas mileage (allegedly, mom says hers does a lot worse), and is just “utter trash” from what I’ve talked to actual mechanics about. They say that the 3.6l and 3.9 liter V6s are “seriously unreliable”. That the owners have “nothing but problems” out of them and the transmissions GM attached to them, and that “they don’t even get good gas mileage”.

My mother has a 2011 Impala. It’s 3 years newer than my Buick. She drives the 2003 around saying “The 2011 is a gas guzzler. It only gets 13 mpg in the city. I can’t afford to take it in anywhere because they always charge me $600 and then leave it sitting there for two weeks and tell me they couldn’t find anything wrong with it, or they replace something and it’s still doing the same thing.”.

GM did not improve after the bankruptcy. She’s had two Impalas and a Malibu post-bankruptcy. She bought the Malibu from her state representative in Indiana and it seemed to be an okay car, but an uninsured driver backed into her and then lied about who she was to the police, and then convinced the police to let her go and blame my mom for the accident.

(Substantially the same thing happened to me in Illinois last year and the police let two felons with no ID and no insurance go and left me to fight the ticket in court, after the felons caused the accident. They never bothered to claim anything on my insurance though, and so there’s no payout in CLUE, and I fought the ticket and they didn’t show up in court, so no change to my insurance rate. Cops showed up to to the hearing, but my attorney objected under the hearsay rule and got the police thrown out, and then the court dismissed the ticket and went on extracting money from everyone else there.)

The Impalas were junk, though. She lost one in bankruptcy and said “It was such a piece of crap I didn’t care.” and it was only three years old (a 2014 model in 2017), and then she got the 2011 from a buy here pay here, and everything has gone wrong with it, plus it’s rusting worse than the ’03.

With the car market being what it is now, it’s like “You find an old car and you have a mechanic keep fixing it.” because the cost to repair a car has gone up a bit, but nothing like the sticker price on a new one.

But mom keeps getting hunkered down with a GM that doesn’t do much except break down and cost money. Not because it got old. Not because something stupid that was a wear item anyway wore out. But because literally everything they’ve made since 2010 has been trash. At least in the Chevrolet division. I hear Buick is still decent.

I noted that most of the Chevys that they did have were made substantially in Mexico, not Canada and the United States, like they were when they more or less worked right. When they were made in America and Canada, they often made it 250,000 miles or more without too many problems.

Today, people try to get out from under a GM car before the odometer has hit 100,000 miles, and they’re usually on their third transmission and trying to unload it before the warranty ends and it eats another one.

One of the problems is that GM has only been doing CVT transmissions for about 10 years and they don’t build them right. They go out a lot even if you aren’t abusing them, and the dealerships obviously aren’t going to admit that. I came across a page from a Chevy dealer bragging about how smoothly the CVTs shift and that they save gas.

I’d rather lose half a mile per gallon and feel the car shifting gears and just have a transmission that worked right as long as I changed the fluid and filter every 60,000 miles or so, like what GM used to make.

Rebuilding a CVT properly is almost never going to happen unless the mechanic knows exactly what they’re doing with that model, and even if they ever can get it to work right again, expect to pay so much that you might as well have bought a new one.

The whole point of the CVTs and new engine designs appears to be to cut down the longevity so there’s no used cars on the market that work right. Call me a conspiracy theorist if you want, but that’s what’s happening.

The problem isn’t even that you can’t make an engine out of aluminum, with variable valve timing, and a rubber timing belt, and attach it to a CVT, and not get decent reliability. Toyotas and Hondas usually work fine for a very long time, even if the owner didn’t change the timing belt when they should have. And since most of the foreign cars use non-interference engines, a timing belt snapping means a tow and a new belt instead of the car being scrap metal.

The American cars that use timing belts instead of chains tend to be interference engines. In an interference engine, the timing belt or chain failing usually, almost always, means catastrophic engine damage, so you want a chain, and to keep up on your oil changes and make sure the level is always correct, so the chain doesn’t snap.

(One of mom’s former co-workers that recently got fired bought a 2011 Ford Mustang, fifth owner, from a buy here pay here lot, and they said “Oh, it just needs a timing chain!”, and the engine broke down twice and they even offered her a different car and she’s all like “No! You’re going to put a NEW engine in that one!)

I was down at Chevy and at Buick, and the Chevy division is suffering a lot worse than the “luxury” divisions, Buick and Cadillac.

It appears that GM is lowering production in the Chevy division to free up parts for Buick, Cadillac, and GMC, which is where their profitable buyers go anyway.

The Chevy dealer’s lot is 10-15% full and what they do have are these gigantic gas guzzling trucks and SUVs, and those are $65,000 and up, plus taxes and bullshit fees. Then you look at the window sticker and they removed the Fuel Module and the seat warmer (humorously, the buttons are still there).

So you get out of the dealer, having paid $70,000 for a truck, and then you have to freeze your butt off and get bad gas mileage because they sold you an incomplete truck, for $70,000.

But soon it’ll be $72,000 because of OnStar, which you didn’t even want. Most people are saying it’ll be their last GM vehicle, that this is the last straw. They seem to think Buick, GMC, and Cadillac buyers are stupid and that divisions that have profit are just going to tell their buyers to eat shit and smile about it and become a profit piñata because we all know that you can’t balk and buy a Lexus from Toyota instead. 🙂

“I already have smartphones with hotspot data. Why the hell do I need OnStar. What year is this?”

Good question. Excellent question! You should call GM’s customer satisfaction hotline for your vehicle brand if you have purchased a GM vehicle in the past several years and tell them what you think of this, and what you’ll buy next time. Raise hell. Lay into them. Tell them you won’t be back.

I would be absolutely furious about this. I have the hardware for OnStar in the Buick and I had it in the Impala.

They don’t like to tell you this, but if you’re in an accident and you hit the red emergency button, they have to send out the paramedics, even if you’re not an OnStar customer. It’s the law. They can also be sued if they don’t.

For everything else, enjoy your $500 a year WiFi hotspot in the car.

I’ve gotta say that I’ve been a Chevy owner, a Buick owner, and a Ford owner, and I had way less problems out of my Fords than I did out of my GMs.

I liked my 1995 Corsica, as far as how fast it was (itty bitty car with the 3100 V6!) and it got great gas mileage. Unfortunately, I started getting the “ignition switch turns off randomly on the highway” problem that was killing people, which GM tried to cover up. I ended up paying to have the ignition switch replaced. A while later, the engine failed after the connecting rods started making noise.

At least back then there was always another $2,000 clunker where the last one came from.

I feel that, at 38 years old, I shouldn’t already have to say “The younger people will never know freedom or economic prosperity.”, but I think what’s going on in the American car industry is a reflection of where America is as a country. It’s turned into a nation of “Patrick Bateman” clones. The Patick Batemans thought they were all going to get rich on Bitcoins.

Richard Stallman’s political notes said yet again, and he’s very, very wrong btw, that “interest rates should remain low”. He’s following some splogs that pose as news sites, where Paul Krugman passes as an economist.

Stallman repeatedly and incorrectly asserts that hyperinflation will help the poor. Wrong. Cheap money flows to the rich and creates moral hazards. It does things like propping up asset bubbles, even as the economy sheds jobs.

Right now, we’re watching a massive (and I must say hilarious) correction in the “cryptocurrency” market, just months after Matt Damon’s Super Bowl ads. My Savings Account is paying out 2.5 times as much interest as it as two months ago. We need to get inflation under control and reward people for prudently managing their finances.

I don’t see the jobs market being affected very much by rising interest rates. What I do see being taken away, stolen, from workers, is their ability to use their paychecks to buy food and housing. And that has to stop!

One of the outcomes of wasteful government spending and years of low interest rates is that when I wanted a nicer used car, I had to pay $8,000, for one that needed work.

Stallman ignores actual problems like this and argues that the Fed should just throw more cheap money everywhere.

Back to GM…

The last time they were about ready to fail and started talking about taxpayers having to bail them out, I opened my big mouth at work and said “They should be allowed to fail. The market will correct for it, people will just buy cars from someone else.”.

I was 21 years old (in 2005) and knew that GM wasn’t the only company that made cars. (Some people didn’t want to hear it though.)

I nearly got written up by my boss at Walmart for saying that.

He came up to me and said, “You made a lot of people upset by saying that. A lot of people here have family members that work at GM.”.

At the next meeting, I had to apologize. I clarified, “I don’t mean that I have any bad feelings for the people who work at GM. I have a lot of respect for anyone who gets up and goes to work and earns a paycheck and provides for their family. Both of my grandfathers worked there. I’m angry that bad management led GM to this situation. I made an insensitive comment, regarding macroeconomic policy, and I’m sorry that I didn’t give a better example, such as ‘I hope that the employees are okay and can go across the street to Ford.’ I apologize if any feelings were hurt..”

You can’t say much of anything without someone else choosing to take it the wrong way. GM very much deserved to fail then, but I don’t have any animosity towards the people who work there.

I hope they can get a job at Ford.

Now, most people have no idea, even now, that some of the “foreign” cars actually have the most US labor involved in making them. That’s where we are with the global economy today.

In 1985, when my Aunt bought a Honda Prelude, which still worked in 2013, when she passed away, because she was tired of getting ripped off at the gas pump by the damned Saudis, my grandparents were less than amused. They acted like she was Benedict Arnold because GM had already started dropping the ball even back then.

GM is failing because it has failed to adjust to consumer demands. It has spent decades fighting against fuel economy standards that wouldn’t even add much to the price of a car.

Some of the “safety features” that don’t really do much to keep you safe add more to the price of a car than gas saving technologies, and GM didn’t fight against those, oddly enough.

To add to the evidence that GM still doesn’t “get it”, they want to make an “electric Hummer” with a battery pack that weighs as much as my Buick Lacrosse and produces more emissions.

I truly and honestly believe that we should not have to “save” GM with tax money again. And if we do, then it should be turned over to the UAW to run as a co-op.

Netflix thinks that the solution to its financial woes is a deal with Microsoft to put ads into your TV shows.

Netflix thinks that the solution to its financial woes is a deal with Microsoft to put ads into your TV shows.

Netflix is in major financial crisis. They’re doing huge layoffs. They’ve spent years mismanaging the platform and have only themselves to blame.

Even though the DRM is malicious, and encourages people to be jerks who can’t share with their friends, it’s not the cause of their financial problems.

Back when it wasn’t so expensive and had shows that people wanted to watch, people would pay the money to subscribe and then keep paying, usually even if there wasn’t anything on that they wanted to watch that month.

However, with the state of the economy being pretty lousy, and hyperinflation causing people to struggle to put food on the table, and gas in the gas tank, Netflix seems to have figured out what the solution is to losing a million subscribers per annum.

No, the solution is not canceling all the good shows, it’s not raising the price another $3-4 a month every year; it couldn’t possibly be paying $50 million for a documentary about Michelle Obama that nobody wants to see. But they’ve done all of this.

Michelle Obama’s main accomplishment as FLOTUS appears to be ruining school lunches to the point where what I had to eat as a child in school was a gourmet restaurant by comparison (and it was basically on par with what they fed Indiana prisoners back then!).

Then there’s the fact that streaming has become a highly competitive market with lots of contenders that have gigantic war chests dumping cash into programming investments, and that people simply aren’t going to subscribe to the company (Netflix) with the weakest content portfolio when there’s nothing on and the price is spiraling out of control.

(Sarcasm) No, no, what people really want is this horrible streaming company with nothing to watch except a documentary about Michelle Obama, plus advertisements from Microsoft. (/Sarcasm)

CNBC: Netflix partners with Microsoft on ad-supported subscription plan

Web / Gemini (NewsWaffle)

Microsoft is in a position to spy on the majority of desktop and laptop computer users through spyware that they have built into Windows, Edge, and Bing.

Of course, that’s the mistake of the people who use these things, but “interest-based advertising” built upon what Microsoft learns by spying on you elsewhere will almost certainly pop up during your Netflix shows, if you subscribe to this tier.

Seeing has how there’s rarely been a business partnership with Microsoft in the tech world that ended well (AOL, Novell, Nokia, SEGA, Spyglass, etc.) and when Microsoft can’t corrupt, they do a hostile takeover, patent litigation threats (Samsung), or just make some crappy cloned and stolen product (Windows NT is essentially stolen from DEC and IBM, and they twisted and contorted their agreement with Spyglass for Internet Explorer, and then both got settled out of court for undisclosed sums…), I think that a Microsoft partnership is just yet another sign that Netflix is a company in serious trouble.

It’s not good to be a tech company that is not earning a profit during a bubble, during a period of high inflation, during a downturn in the business cycle, and during rising interest rates. Netflix and others now find themselves here.

Either they’ll go to bankruptcy court and be sold for scrap (patents, etc.) or someone buys them for scrap. Maybe even to Microsoft. They’ve bought worse.

Netflix is probably heading this way, though it may take a few years.

I don’t see how putting ads in Netflix is going to do anything for their bottom line though. Consumers are pinched.

Consumer discretionary is going through Hell at the moment.

Amazon has quietly killed warehouse construction all over the place, sometimes with half a building standing.

TheRealDeal: Amazon binge ends in hangover, halt on warehouse deals amid $4B loss

Web / Gemini (NewsWaffle

Walmart and Target don’t even want their returns back.

CNN: Just keep your returns: Stores weigh paying you not to bring back unwanted items

Web / Gemini (NewsWaffle)

What’s bound to happen is the same thing that happened in the early 2000s. Ad revenues are going to crash in a major way. They’re going to start paying pretty much nothing after years of running hot based on the notion that the consumer would spend a bunch of money that turned out to not really be there in the end.

Yes, companies like Microsoft, Facebook, and Google have sharpened their knives and have better ways to target and psychologically manipulate consumers than the relatively blunt instruments there were before, but a broke working class is a broke working class and a tightening Fed is a tightening Fed.

TechRights has noticed that on Phoronix, a site about “Linux” news which has always been the subject of ridicule over the ad bombardment that takes place if you turn off your ad blocker, Michael Larabel has additionally started taking “free gifts” worth many thousands from companies like AMD, his to keep.

And he’s been writing incredibly favorable “reviews”. So it’s clear that he’s diversified away from obvious advertising and straight into “sponsored content”.

Worse yet, now many articles are not even about “Linux”. They’re about Microsoft. Leading us to call him “Microsoft Larabel”.

This came after years of entire articles begging people to subscribe to read his content churn.

Perpetual Comedian Jim Cramer (“Buy Bear Stearns!”) said today that he thinks that despite the fact that the government’s inflation figure for the year went from 8.6% to 9.1% after the latest monthly report, that the Federal Reserve “Is getting a handle on inflation.” and that we’ll see it soon. Also, that the bottom for the market is close.

Of course, there’s an investment strategy I call the “Reverse Jim Cramer”. If you listen to Cramer and do the exact opposite of what he just said, you usually make a lot of money, and if you do what he says, you usually lose money, while he’s reversed his position a couple weeks later and acts like he never said to do that.

Right now, Cramer is urging people to buy and hold Netflix and has been repeating that for many months as the company continues to fail.

The speculative bubbles in the US economy continue to collapse as the “news” is finally forced to say something about layoffs.

The speculative bubbles in the US economy continue to collapse as the “news” is finally forced to say something about layoffs.

A wave of layoffs is hitting the US economy. It’s been quietly building for months, but the “news” has barely spoken of it. During the 2020 recession, even large firms like IBM and Microsoft cut their head counts and did it piecemeal to avoid any loud negative publicity.

In Microsoft’s case, it even took advantage of the chaos to shut down their faltering Microsoft Stores, which had turned into an ongoing and pointless embarrassment for the company given the total and complete failure of Windows Phone, and the fact that it’s pointless to give demonstrations of Windows products in general, because it often just highlights that it cannot perform basic functions that should work as advertised.

Hell, when I went into a Microsoft store in Chicago in 2016, I wanted to try out Windows 10 with “MiraCast”, which is something Microsoft cooked up with Intel that promised that wireless screencasting would finally be done right.

Well, the demonstration unit synced up to the TV and sent one frame, and then Blue Screen of Deathed the entire display laptop. An employee at the store tried to reset it, but that’s what kept happening, and so I gave up on Windows doing anything right again.

That laptop had no HDMI port, so I limped by using a minidlna server on GNU/Linux and a Roku, which at least at that time, did support dlna.

The next time I bought a laptop, I got one with an HDMI port and a really long cable.

But as you can see, there was no need for a Microsoft Store. They’re not Apple. People despise Windows. It’s an experience to be endured, not enjoyed, if you have you, I guess. But they’re not good products.

The more recent trouble with the US economy is also mainly unfolding in the “tech” sectors, but the more recent bloodbath is things that are entirely speculative in nature, such as Bitcoins, Tesla, Uber, Real Estate tech companies, Carvana, and other shit that’s finally hitting the fan now that the Federal Reserve is raising interest rates, however slightly.

While it is true that the Fed is tightening at the fastest clip in over 30 years (Jerome Powell said they might do ANOTHER 75 basis points next month, back-to-back), the truth is that rates are still pitifully low by historical standards, and the fact that the US economy cannot stand up to a 1% Fed Funds Rate shows how pervasive the rot really is..

I mean, 40-50 years ago, that rate could be 20% and it would be miserable, but the economy would mostly go on because most people still had decent jobs and they worked at places that really made things.

In the post-Baby Boomer era, the damage that they allowed to unfold under the trade deals spanning from Bush Sr. through Trump has finally started becoming apparent. The only way the economy ran for the last 10 years was with debt that was cheaper than dirt, and the crack cocaine is finally being taken away.

To make matters worse, consumer prices were already starting to rise under Donald Trump due to his insane tariffs, which were neither high enough to encourage jobs to be created domestically, nor low enough to allow lower and middle income workers to avoid noticing that they were there.

The Fed is desperately trying to stamp out inflation, but we also have to ask ourselves where the inflation came from?

The insanity of Keynesian Economics. The last bout of it has made the US economy terribly, terribly sick. Trump and Biden, and the Congressional Republican and Democratic Parties were all for it and promoted it as “stimulative”, but it was really all about pouring fake money into the economy, not backed by anything, diluting what was already there.

In Trump’s case, it mostly went to his criminal friends and rich Republicans that cheat the system and don’t pay their taxes, and in Mr. Biden’s case it mostly went to slush funds for states that haven’t been managing their own budgets correctly.

In red states, the slush funds are propping up tax cuts that go almost entirely to unproductive rich people who already hoard a lot of wealth even during recessions, and in blue states like Illinois, it gets spent on outright vote buying to people who are terminal welfare cases no matter how the economy is doing that year and who mostly produce unnecessary children who have no future to grow up into, and to public employee unions to push papers around and make you wait 4 months to get your car title from the DMV.

In any event, the money was wasted, in the worst ways, and now it’s floating around out there like toxic waste, forcing the Federal Reserve to do something, which damages the economy in other ways.

The Fed and the government have rather been like Godzilla and Mothra fighting each other and destroying the entire damned city in the process while the onlookers are like “Wow! They’re here to save us!”.

Aside from that, and aside from the DotCom Bubble 2.0, we’re facing an old age crisis, the generation that ruined the underpinnings of the economy over the past 40 years is retiring and after demanding not to pay what Social Security and Medicare cost, they all want “THEIR” money, which in reality means working their children to death while their kids get to have nothing except their cost of living go up 20% a year.

So this entire thing goes much deeper than several thousand layoffs, or people waking up with a post-Bitcoin hangover.

Everything has been ruined in ways that are more horrible than most people even dare to imagine.

The most offensive part of all of this, of course, is that while it plays out, the bipolar “news” media alternate between how bad everything is (without actually scratching the surface), and then pivoting to tell us how real wages are up (they’re not) and the jobs market is “tight” and people can do anything they want.

If that were true, nobody would drive around beating up their car making a dollar here and there with Doordash, and then running into people’s garage doors and fleeing because they have no insurance and can’t afford to settle with the homeowner for paying for the garage door.

Nobody would be doing such menial tasks and losing money for their trouble if the labor market was any good. Nobody.

They’d be yelling “Hey, you assholes! Go get your own damned McDonalds! I found a job that pays $20 an hour with health insurance and I’m not a 1099 contractor who has to pay Social Security twice!”.

My cousin is trying to sell a house. It was my grandmother’s house. It used to be a nice house. I have many fond memories of that house.

Unfortunately, it’s seen better days. My grandfather passed away in September of 1998, and nobody has done a damned thing to it since then, except tear the shit out of it, and incompetently turned the dining room into a makeshift bedroom so some extended family could move in and help share the bills.

Now she’s trying to get out of it and is even willing to take a loss. A loss!

It’s in a good neighborhood. You can’t tell the extent of the wear and tear from the outside at a glance, but it’s really really bad in there.

I said “Try to get out of it with something before the Fed jacks up mortgage rates past 10% and nobody wants a fixer upper.”.

Now, this is really the economy in a microcosm. Pervasive rot, decades of “deferred maintenance”, the warning lights are flashing, but the politicians and their pet media don’t want you to see it, so instead of fixing anything, they take out the bulbs from the warning lights, and the entire thing is about to collapse.

I’m not even really sure if it’s possible to save the United States at this point.

The politicians have spent so many years getting high on their own supply and detached from the issues that real Americans have to go through, and changing election laws and gerrymandering themselves into office so the voters can’t take their revenge out even if they ever do get smart enough to realize what’s going on, which is doubtful given the state of public education.

But even in theory, if someone got in that was smart enough to realize that you need to balance budgets and pay your debts, and take care of your own problems first, I don’t know that it would matter.

You can tell just how deranged the warmongers are with this entire Russia thing. We’re dumping unlimited billions into this mess. It’s still unclear if Ukraine could ever win. The energy crisis could, in fact, be the last straw, and it’s being done entirely by people who have been in Washington forever and think they need to keep sticking Russia in the eye and making them angrier and angrier at us. No matter what the eventual cost.

Then there was the insanity that it’s essentially been the policy of the government since about 30 years ago that real estate was a “guaranteed thing no matter what…..NO MATTER WHAT” despite 2008 or what is going to happen here in a few months.

I don’t know that I’m going anywhere with this other than to point out that America is fucked six ways to Sunday, and they have us bickering over whether it’s poor people getting free broadband or a bunch of hillbillies committing misdemeanors two years ago that did it.

Details!

If this sounds like a lifetime pasta pass of madness, it’s because it is.